【加拿大總理杜魯道: 川普想併吞加拿大「是來真的」】假皇帝(Trump 川普): 「又來了」:世界如何應對更肆無忌憚的川普2.0。川普議程面臨的重大挑戰:反覆無常的教練發號施令。 Inside Mark Zuckerberg’s Sprint to Remake Meta for the Trump Era. BILL MAHER:STAND-UP GUY無法不自覺活在美國....。 Canada is ready:冰馬俑. 格陵蘭- 巴拿馬運河, 敦促最高法院暫停 TikTok 禁令..Special elections really were all about turnout, and thus meant little for November...; 柯文哲:朕.....),假愛民(中國國民黨提出的「老人福利法」修法等等)
William Maher is an American comedian, writer, producer, political commentator, actor, and television host. He is popularly known for the HBO political talk ...
Why were Democrats doing so well in special elections, even though polls showed Joe Biden doing so poorly? I collected and analyzed data on who had been voting in special elections, and this chart was my “eureka” moment. On the y-axis: how well Democrats fared in a special election, compared with the 2020 election result. On the x-axis: our estimates for the 2020 vote choice of the same special electorates, based on exactly who voted and our previous estimates for the likelihood that registered voters backed Mr. Biden in 2020. As you can see, there’s a decent one-to-one relationship, implying that these election results were mostly a function of turnout, not persuasion.
The biggest surprise, for me, wasn’t simply that there was a decent correlation between turnout and results. The surprise was how clearly it could be detected, given the paucity of data on these idiosyncratic, ultra-low-turnout elections.
Separate data showed Donald J. Trump doing very well with infrequent voters, the kind who may show up for presidential races but rarely for special elections.
The answer on special elections was clear: The aggregate Democratic advantage in these elections was simply a turnout advantage, and they didn’t mean much for Mr. Biden’s (or Kamala Harris’s) chances in November. — Nate Cohn
What Are the Different Types of Elections?
There are three types of elections: general elections, primary elections, and special elections.
General Elections
In general elections, you vote for federal, state, and local officials.
Elected federal officials are U.S. Senators and U.S. Representatives to Congress.
Elected state officials are Governor, Lieutenant Governor, General Assembly, Attorney General, Auditor General, and State Treasurer.
Elected local officials are county and city officials, judges and magisterial district judges.
In odd-numbered years, such as 2025, general elections for electing local officials are also called municipal elections because there are no federal or state officials being elected. Every four years, the General Election is also a Presidential Election because, according to the U.S. Constitution, the U.S. President’s term is four years.
The General Election is held the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. This year, General Election (Presidential Election) will take place on November 5th, 2024.
Primary Elections
In primary elections, a party selects a candidate for a General Election, and you vote for a candidate who will be nominated to be on a ballot. Article I, section 4 of the U.S. Constitution gives individual states the right to decide when and how elections are conducted. As a result, every state has different dates for their elections and follows different rules.
There are three types of the primary elections: “open primary,” “closed primary,” and “blanket/ nonpartisan primary.”
First, an “open primary” is a primary where you - as a voter - don’t have to be affiliated with the party for whose candidate you’re voting. In other words, if you registered with one party you can still vote for a candidate from another party in an “open primary.” However, you have to choose one Party and are allowed to vote only in the primary of your choice. Or vice versa.
Second, in a “closed primary,” you can only vote for a candidate from the party with which you’re affiliated. In other words, if you’re registered as with a particular party, you can only vote for a candidate from that party. Your party affiliation for the primary elections is considered permanent until you change it.
Third, in a “blanket” or “nonpartisan primary”, also called the “jungle primary”, you can vote for candidates from different parties as you receive a single multiparty ballot and are not bound to party affiliation. The candidate from each party who receives most votes is nominated for a General Election.
Alaska, California, Louisiana, and Washington use “blanket”/“nonpartisan” primaries. In Louisiana, all candidates are listed on one ballot, and the candidate with most majority votes moves on to the General Election. If no candidate has reached a majority, the two top candidates move on to the next election, regardless of party affiliation.
Special Elections
In special elections, you can vote for a candidate to replace an official who is no longer able to serve. In other words, if an elected official has resigned, died, or got removed from office, you can vote for a new official. Special elections may be held either during a general election or primary election, or on a completely different date assigned by the elections office. Everyone who lives in the district can vote in that election.
All in all, there are plenty of opportunities to participate in the democratic process in the United States.
The president-elect took no position on the app’s First Amendment challenge to the law, which sets a Jan. 19 deadline to sell or close the popular platform. 川普敦促最高法院暫停 TikTok 禁令 候任總統對該應用程式違反第一修正案的法律沒有採取任何立場,該修正案設定了 1 月 19 日為出售或關閉這個流行平台的最後期限。
“President Trump alone possesses the consummate deal-making expertise, the electoral mandate and the political will to negotiate a resolution to save the platform while addressing the national security concerns expressed by the government — concerns which President Trump himself has acknowledged,” the brief said.
Mr. Trump, the brief added, is particularly knowledgeable about social media in general and TikTok in particular.
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