2025年2月8日 星期六

【加拿大總理杜魯道: 川普想併吞加拿大「是來真的」】假皇帝(Trump 川普): 「又來了」:世界如何應對更肆無忌憚的川普2.0。川普議程面臨的重大挑戰:反覆無常的教練發號施令。 Inside Mark Zuckerberg’s Sprint to Remake Meta for the Trump Era. BILL MAHER:STAND-UP GUY無法不自覺活在美國....。 Canada is ready:冰馬俑. 格陵蘭- 巴拿馬運河, 敦促最高法院暫停 TikTok 禁令..Special elections really were all about turnout, and thus meant little for November...; 柯文哲:朕.....),假愛民(中國國民黨提出的「老人福利法」修法等等)




【加拿大總理杜魯道: 川普想併吞加拿大「是來真的」】
據加拿大廣播公司(CBC)與《多倫多星報》(Toronto Star)報導,加拿大總理杜魯道向一群商界與工會領袖表示,美國總統川普試圖控制加拿大「是來真的」。杜魯道在一次閉門會議上發表了此言論,但內容卻意外透過麥克風傳出。
川普曾多次表示,加拿大應成為美國的「第51州」,並戲稱杜魯道為「第51州州長」。「他們非常清楚我們的資源、我們擁有的東西,也非常希望能夠從中獲益,」杜魯道表示。「但川普先生心裡想的是,最簡單的方式之一就是併吞我們的國家。他是說真的。」
加拿大擁有石油、天然氣、鑽石和許多其他天然資源。該國也是農作物所需的鉀肥主要生產國。
杜魯道在會議上還談到川普威脅對加拿大加徵關稅一事。杜魯道指出:「我們現在必須進行的戰略反思是......在未來四年裡,在與美國的長期政治局勢可能更具挑戰性的情況下,我們如何渡過難關。」
川普政府原訂2月4日開始對加拿大和墨西哥加徵25%的關稅,不過,在川普分別與杜魯道以及墨西哥總統辛鮑姆通過電話之後,宣布將執行日期延後一個月。
可能是 1 人和顯示的文字是「 Ow " 川普想併吞加拿大是來真的, 他們非常清楚我們的資源, 他們非常 也非常希望能夠從中獲益 杜魯道 加拿大總理 Source: Source:/©AFP AFP 」的圖像
所有心情:
407









A Major Challenge for Trump’s Agenda: A Mercurial Coach Calling the Plays

President-elect Trump has admonished Republicans to stay united around his plans. But his track record is one of abrupt turnabouts and last-minute blowups.





「又來了」:世界如何應對更肆無忌憚的川普2.0

川普拒絕排除武力奪取格陵蘭島和巴拿馬運河的可能性,誓將墨西哥灣命名為“美利堅灣”,稱可以把加拿大變成美國的第51個州。他重新喚起了一個關注領土控制的時代。

DAMIEN CAVE


週二,候任總統唐納德·川普在佛羅裡達州棕櫚灘的馬阿拉歌莊園舉行新聞發布會。 Doug Mills/The New York Times


當唐納德·川普贏得重返白宮的機會時,許多國家都以為自己知道會發生什麼,以及如何為即將發生的事情做好準備。


世界各國首都的外交官都表示,他們將關注川普政府的所作所為,而不是川普的言論。那些大國制定了計劃來緩和或反擊川普懲罰性關稅的威脅。較小的國家則希望自己能躲過另一場四年的「美國優先」颶風。


但是,讓世界保持冷靜並繼續前進越來越難。


在周二的馬阿拉歌莊園記者會上,川普拒絕排除使用武力奪取格陵蘭和巴拿馬運河的可能性。他發誓要將墨西哥灣重新命名為「美利堅灣」。他也表示,出於美國國家安全的考慮,他可以使用「經濟力量」將加拿大變成美國的第51個州。











Inside Mark Zuckerberg’s Sprint to Remake Meta for the Trump Era

After visiting President-elect Trump in November, Meta’s chief executive decided to relax speech policies. The repercussions are just beginning.




Bill Maher
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Bill_Maher



William Maher is an American comedian, writer, producer, political commentator, actor, and television host. He is popularly known for the HBO political talk ...






Howard Chang


冰馬俑






Austin Moloughney

Canada is ready. 🇨🇦

Special elections really were all about turnout, and thus meant little for November

An early scatterplot, in glorious Base R.

Why were Democrats doing so well in special elections, even though polls showed Joe Biden doing so poorly? I collected and analyzed data on who had been voting in special elections, and this chart was my “eureka” moment. On the y-axis: how well Democrats fared in a special election, compared with the 2020 election result. On the x-axis: our estimates for the 2020 vote choice of the same special electorates, based on exactly who voted and our previous estimates for the likelihood that registered voters backed Mr. Biden in 2020. As you can see, there’s a decent one-to-one relationship, implying that these election results were mostly a function of turnout, not persuasion.

The biggest surprise, for me, wasn’t simply that there was a decent correlation between turnout and results. The surprise was how clearly it could be detected, given the paucity of data on these idiosyncratic, ultra-low-turnout elections.

Separate data showed Donald J. Trump doing very well with infrequent voters, the kind who may show up for presidential races but rarely for special elections.

The answer on special elections was clear: The aggregate Democratic advantage in these elections was simply a turnout advantage, and they didn’t mean much for Mr. Biden’s (or Kamala Harris’s) chances in November. — Nate Cohn


What Are the Different Types of Elections?

There are three types of elections: general elections, primary elections, and special elections.

General Elections

In general elections, you vote for federal, state, and local officials.

  • Elected federal officials are U.S. Senators and U.S. Representatives to Congress.
  • Elected state officials are Governor, Lieutenant Governor, General Assembly, Attorney General, Auditor General, and State Treasurer.
  • Elected local officials are county and city officials, judges and magisterial district judges.

In odd-numbered years, such as 2025, general elections for electing local officials are also called municipal elections because there are no federal or state officials being elected. Every four years, the General Election is also a Presidential Election because, according to the U.S. Constitution, the U.S. President’s term is four years.

The General Election is held the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. This year, General Election (Presidential Election) will take place on November 5th, 2024.

Primary Elections

In primary elections, a party selects a candidate for a General Election, and you vote for a candidate who will be nominated to be on a ballot. Article I, section 4 of the U.S. Constitution gives individual states the right to decide when and how elections are conducted. As a result, every state has different dates for their elections and follows different rules.

See the US Vote State Primary Dates Chart

There are three types of the primary elections: “open primary,” “closed primary,” and “blanket/ nonpartisan primary.”

  • First, an “open primary” is a primary where you - as a voter - don’t have to be affiliated with the party for whose candidate you’re voting. In other words, if you registered with one party you can still vote for a candidate from another party in an “open primary.” However, you have to choose one Party and are allowed to vote only in the primary of your choice. Or vice versa.
     
  • Second, in a “closed primary,” you can only vote for a candidate from the party with which you’re affiliated. In other words, if you’re registered as with a particular party, you can only vote for a candidate from that party. Your party affiliation for the primary elections is considered permanent until you change it.
     
  • Third, in a “blanket” or “nonpartisan primary”, also called the “jungle primary”, you can vote for candidates from different parties as you receive a single multiparty ballot and are not bound to party affiliation. The candidate from each party who receives most votes is nominated for a General Election.

    Alaska, California, Louisiana, and Washington use “blanket”/“nonpartisan” primaries. In Louisiana, all candidates are listed on one ballot, and the candidate with most majority votes moves on to the General Election. If no candidate has reached a majority, the two top candidates move on to the next election, regardless of party affiliation.

Special Elections

In special elections, you can vote for a candidate to replace an official who is no longer able to serve. In other words, if an elected official has resigned, died, or got removed from office, you can vote for a new official. Special elections may be held either during a general election or primary election, or on a completely different date assigned by the elections office. Everyone who lives in the district can vote in that election.


All in all, there are plenty of opportunities to participate in the democratic process in the United States.




假皇帝(Trump 川普敦促最高法院暫停 TikTok 禁令.....; 柯文哲:朕.....),假愛民(中國國民黨提出的「老人福利法」修法等等)

Trump Urges Supreme Court to Pause TikTok Ban

The president-elect took no position on the app’s First Amendment challenge to the law, which sets a Jan. 19 deadline to sell or close the popular platform.
川普敦促最高法院暫停 TikTok 禁令 候任總統對該應用程式違反第一修正案的法律沒有採取任何立場,該修正案設定了 1 月 19 日為出售或關閉這個流行平台的最後期限。
當選總統唐納德·J·特朗普 (Donald J. Trump) 週五提交了一份不同尋常的簡報,要求最高法院阻止一項要求 TikTok 在 1 月 19 日之前出售或關閉的法律。

最後期限是川普就職前一天,簡報要求法官推遲,以便他可以解決這個問題。

簡報稱:“川普總統反對此時在美國禁止 TikTok,並尋求在上任後通過政治手段解決當前問題的能力。”

“President Trump alone possesses the consummate deal-making expertise, the electoral mandate and the political will to negotiate a resolution to save the platform while addressing the national security concerns expressed by the government — concerns which President Trump himself has acknowledged,” the brief said.

Mr. Trump, the brief added, is particularly knowledgeable about social media in general and TikTok in particular.

簡報指出:「川普總統獨自擁有完美的交易專業知識、選舉授權和政治意願,可以透過談判達成一項拯救平台的決議,同時解決政府表達的國家安全擔憂——川普總統本人也承認這一擔憂。


簡報補充說,川普對社群媒體特別是 TikTok 非常了解。



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今日國民黨提出的「老人福利法」修法若通過:
 補助人數從中低收入等弱勢21萬老人暴增到387.9萬老人
 預算從21.7億暴增到384.5億
 明年健保短收540.7億
未來補助支出越來越多,健保短收越來越高。
這是搞垮健保的修法。國民黨毀台害國,十惡不赦!

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