As of May 26, 2026, Russia is actively conducting what it terms "systematic strikes" to dismantle the conditions that allow Kyiv to function as a state. Following recent escalations, the Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a public warning for foreign citizens and diplomats to evacuate the capital immediately, signaling intentions for even more intense aerial assaults. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Current "Systematic Strike" Strategy
- Targeting Infrastructure: Strikes are specifically aimed at decision-making centers, command posts, and military-industrial facilities.
- Infrastructure Dismantling: The strategy involves systematically dismantling the energy grid, municipal water services, and the rail network to make the city unlivable and break Ukrainian morale.
- Use of Advanced Weaponry: Moscow has deployed the Oreshnik hypersonic missile, which travels at 10 times the speed of sound and is nuclear-capable. Other advanced systems like Iskander, Kinzhal, and Zircon missiles are also being utilized.
- Retaliatory Justification: Russian officials characterize these "mass strikes" as justified retaliation for Ukrainian attacks on Russian-controlled territories, such as a recent deadly strike in Luhansk. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7]
Broad Strategic Objectives
Reports and intelligence assessments highlight that Russia's overarching goals for Kyiv remain unchanged since the full-scale invasion began: [1]
- Political Destruction: The intent remains to destroy Ukraine's independence and force it back into the Russian orbit by targeting the head of state and key leadership.
- Psychological Warfare: High-ranking officials like Dmitry Medvedev have advocated for creating "gray ashes" out of the capital's symbols to psychologically demoralize the population.
- Historical Context: Russia's initial 2022 plan involved capturing Kyiv within days to install a pro-Russian regime, a plan that failed due to logistical failures and stiff Ukrainian resistance. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]
Ukrainian intelligence continues to monitor potential expansion scenarios, specifically along the Chernihiv-Kyiv axis, where Russia is reportedly preparing for various offensive directions. [1]
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烏俄戰事進入第五個年頭，烏克蘭已經把空中、地面、水下，無人系統全面整合，形成真正的無人化戰場，尤其地面機器人進步速度驚人，從最早只是運補、撤離傷患，到現在已能搭載炸藥、機槍甚至火箭，直接衝入戰壕發動攻擊。
某種程度上，這已經有點像科幻電影裡的機器人戰爭，烏軍現正在建立一整套低成本、自動化、去人力化的新型戰術體系，用機器去消耗敵人。
現代戰爭邏輯正在改變，未來比拼的除了兵力外，更是工業能力、軟體整合、AI演算法、通訊干擾與無人載具量產能力，誰能大量生產低成本自主武器，誰就可能在下一個世代戰爭取得優勢。
顯示較少
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2026年起，烏克蘭推動軍事轉型，「不對稱作戰」成為戰略核心：
一、不再糾結守住一村一鎮，而是以「殺傷俄軍人員」為主要目標，迫使莫斯科難以補充兵員；
二、「將戰場帶回俄羅斯」，大量無人機突襲俄軍機場、煉油廠、石油出口港，削弱普丁財源。
兩項戰略都高度依賴無人機，開戰之初，烏克蘭只有7家無人機生產商，目前超過500家；研發電子戰的企業從2家增為約200家。
近月，俄軍「新增兵源已趕不上傷亡數字」，烏克蘭宣稱，3月份，俄軍損失創單月新高，96%由無人機發動攻擊。
俄羅斯石油產能損失超過40%，重創普丁的戰爭財政。
普丁非常害怕俄羅斯人發現，他已無法保護首都安全，提議「5 月 9 日紅場大閱兵」當天停火，烏克蘭並未接受。
結果，普丁轉而拜託川普施壓，為了賣美方面子，同時要求交換戰俘，今天，澤連斯基發佈總統令，直接標註莫斯科紅場的座標，並以諷刺口氣行文：（圖一）
「准許 2026 年 5 月 9 日在莫斯科舉行閱兵。」
「閱兵期間，將紅場區域排除於烏軍武器使用計畫之外。」
俄羅斯閱兵，竟然需要烏克蘭「批准」，這正是無人機創造的心理威懾，也是未來戰場的勝敗關鍵。
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RFI 華語 - 法國國際廣播電台
2025年5月10日
·習近平昨天參加莫斯科耀武揚威閱兵式的畫面讓西方清醒一點。法德英波蘭四國領導人在聲明中說：“我們與美國一道，呼籲俄羅斯同意全面、無條件的30天停火，以便通過談判實現公正持久的和平。”
法德英波蘭領導人到訪基輔 展示對烏克蘭的支持
rfi.fr
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