2026年4月2日 星期四

黃亞生(英語:Yasheng Huang,1960年—,MIT斯隆管理學院副院長及政治經濟學教授。)在新書 The Rise and Fall of the EAST: How Exams, Autocracy, Stability, and Technology Brought China Success, and Why They Might Lead to Its Decline, 2025《中國模式的終點》中提出一個大膽假設,認為Exams(科舉)、Autocracy(專制)、Stability(穩定)與Technology(科技)是中國千年來建構強大國家能力的4根支柱,當代中共繼承這套模式並透過數位化推向極致。Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics: Entrepreneurship and the State. 2008 Contents /Preface/ Just How Capitalist Is China? -/The Entrepreneurial Decade /A Great Reversal /What Is Wrong with Shanghai? /Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics


Research

Huang's scholarship examines the political economy of China and India, with particular attention to the role of foreign direct investment, financial liberalization, and human capital in development. His work has appeared in The Wall Street JournalThe Economist, and academic journals in economics and management.

In a 2003 article for Foreign Policy, he and co-author Tarun Khanna analyzed the contrasting development strategies of China and India, arguing that India's homegrown entrepreneurship and stronger capital markets might allow it to catch up with or eventually surpass China, despite China's faster headline GDP growth and larger inflows of FDI.[8] In a 2024 reflection, Huang strongly defended the article, emphasizing that the original claims were widely misunderstood, downplaying the absence of a timeline for India surpassing China, and framing any errors as contingent on unforeseeable policy changes.[9]

His 2008 book Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics argued that rural entrepreneurship drove China's early economic growth, and that a subsequent shift toward urban, state-led capitalism undermined that progress.

His most recent book The Rise and Fall of the EAST (2023) offered a long-run historical account of how China's examination system, autocratic governance, and emphasis on stability shaped its economic trajectory.[10]


  1.  Huang, Yasheng (12 March 2024). "Reflections on "Can India Overtake China?""U.S.-China Perception Monitor. Retrieved 30 March 2026.

 黃美珍

央廣獨家專訪《中國模式的終點》作者黃亞生
多少年來,海內外民主人士一再宣稱中共的統治不可持續,因為「暴政必亡」!
然而,儘管殺人無數,這個政權仍統治了中國大陸七十多年。那麼,究竟是什麼因素維繫這個政權,又是什麼轉折,可能導致「中國模式」走向終結?
對此,美籍華裔學者黃亞生(Yasheng Huang)在台灣出版的新書《中國模式的終點》中,以他嚴謹的學術研究,通過中國數千年專制歷史,提出了非常獨到的見解。請看我們的同事對黃亞生教授的獨家專訪(報導連結在留言處),黃教授在訪談中高度推崇台灣的民主政治,他說「黨派之爭」是好事。(一定要看到最後😁)
黃亞生(英語:Yasheng Huang,1960年3月3日—),MIT斯隆管理學院副院長及政治經濟學教授。他曾任職於哈佛商學院和密西根大學。他的研究領域是中國和印度的經濟發展。Read more


AI Overview
+4
The Rise and Fall of the EAST
Yasheng Huang’s major 2025 book, The Rise and Fall of the EAST: How Exams, Autocracy, Stability, and Technology Brought China Success, and Why They Might Lead to Its Decline, analyzes 1,500 years of Chinese history. It argues that the "EAST" system—Exams, Autocracy, Stability, and Technology—drove historical success but now risks causing stagnation under authoritarian reversals.
Key Themes and Analysis
  • The "EAST" Framework: Huang, a professor at MIT Sloan School of Management, uses this acronym to describe how the imperial examination system (Keju) combined with autocracy to create both stability and rigid, stifling, non-creative bureaucracy.
  • Historical View: The book argues that the exam system, while initially meritocratic, ultimately hindered long-term innovation by fostering authority worship.
  • Modern Implications: Huang posits that current Chinese political and economic reversals, particularly under Xi Jinping, echo past cycles where over-centralization led to decline.
  • Other Works: Huang is also known for Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics and Selling China.
The Rise and Fall of the EAST is published by Yale University Press.


//書摘【建黨元老之孫、家族經歷文革的「紅三代」,看見「中國模式」起落關鍵】https://pse.is/8l3klm

從大饑荒、大革命到世界的製造工廠與不可忽視的市場,中國40年來的經濟奇蹟讓世界驚嘆,儘管政權鬥爭、高層落馬時有所聞,但它至今仍未如民主國家期待,走向自由民主,而是走出獨特的「中國模式」⋯⋯相對其他威權國家,是什麼支撐著中國的專制體制?
「科舉制度遏制了市場經濟與民主概念。」出生於中國、受教於哈佛的紅色第三代,麻省理工管理學院教授黃亞生在新書《中國模式的終點》中提出一個大膽假設,認為Exams(科舉)、Autocracy(專制)、Stability(穩定)與Technology(科技)是中國千年來建構強大國家能力的4根支柱,當代中共繼承這套模式並透過數位化推向極致。
祖父黃負生是中共建黨57位元老之一、身為文宣體系高幹的父親黃鋼一度被捲入文革,特殊的家庭背景與教育歷程,成為黃亞生深刻理解中共尖銳政治環境的鑰匙——施暴者可能一夜之間就變成受暴者,不管是決策核心圈的劉少奇、趙紫陽、胡錦濤,軍事巨頭林彪與彭德懷,到掌控國家暴力的歷任公安局處官員,都逃不過權力翻覆後的潦倒結局。
「中國制度有不少賦予的權利,但前提是:你得有權力才能獲得這些權利。改革制度的動機,正是因為人們意識到這種制度安排並不穩定。」
黃亞生指出,文革後曾讓1980年代的中共短暫出現政治改革,當時不同派系的政治家彼此容忍。如今,中國的政治精英再次面臨體制的殘暴,會是突破「中國模式」千年歷史的契機嗎?



Capitalism with Chinese CharacteristicsEntrepreneurship and the State

Front Cover
Cambridge University PressSep 1, 2008 - Political Science - 366 pages
Presents a story of two Chinas – an entrepreneurial rural China and a state-controlled urban China. In the 1980s, rural China gained the upper hand. In the 1990s, urban China triumphed. In the 1990s, the Chinese state reversed many of its rural experiments, with long-lasting damage to the economy and society. A weak financial sector, income disparity, rising illiteracy, productivity slowdowns, and reduced personal income growth are the product of the capitalism with Chinese characteristics of the 1990s and beyond. While GDP grew quickly in both decades, the welfare implications of growth differed substantially. The book uses the emerging Indian miracle to debunk the widespread notion that democracy is automatically anti-growth. As the country marked its 30th anniversary of reforms in 2008, China faces some of its toughest economic challenges and substantial vulnerabilities that require fundamental institutional reforms.
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Selected pages

Contents

Preface
Just How Capitalist Is China?
The Entrepreneurial Decade
A Great Reversal
What Is Wrong with Shanghai?
Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics
Notes
Bibliography
Index
Copyright

About the author (2008)

Yasheng Huang teaches international management at Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His previous appointments include serving as assistant professor at the University of Michigan, associate professor at Harvard Business School, and consultant to the World Bank. In addition to journal articles, Professor Huang has published Inflation and Investment Controls in China (Cambridge University Press, 1996), FDI in China (1998), and Selling China (Cambridge University Press, 2003). Selling China examined the institutional drivers of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China and was profiled in numerous publications, including the Wall Street Journal, Economist, Businessworld, Le Monde, Economic Times, and Liangwang (Outlook in China). His research on FDI was cited in a number of major government reports on FDI policies and regulations. In collaborative projects with other scholars, Professor Huang is conducting research on engineering education and human capital formation in China and India and on entrepreneurship. Professor Huang is the recipient of the Social Science-MacArthur Foundation Fellowship and the National Fellowship.

Bibliographic information

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