2025年3月5日 星期三

Robert K. Merton, an American sociologist, coined the term "self-fulfilling prophecy" in 1948. 中國預算過於保守2025,當心結果可能是一個自我實現的預言 self-fulfilling,

 

自我實現預言,或稱自證預言自我應驗預言等(英語:Self-fulfilling prophecy),是某人「預測」或期待某事的社會心理現象,而這種「預測」或期望之所以成真,只是因為該人相信或預期它會發生[1],並且該人的由此產生的行為與實現該信念一致。這表明人們的信念會影響他們的行為。這種現象背後的原理是,人們根據先前對該主題的了解,對人或事件產生後果。

  1.  Oxford English Dictionary. . self-fulfilling. 1832 Morning Post 4 Apr. Suffice it to say, the licensed fabricators of self-fulfilling prophecies are again upon their stools.



社會學家W.I.Thomas和Dorothy Swaine Thomas是第一個發現這種現象的人。1928年,他們提出了托馬斯定理(或稱托馬斯格言),指出「如果該人將情況定義為真實的,那麼他們的後果就是真實的」[6]

The child in America: Behavior problems and programs. W.I. Thomas and D.S. Thomas. New York: Knopf, 1928: 571–572

以托馬斯的想法為基礎,社會學家羅伯特·K·默頓使用了「自我實現預言」一詞,將「信念或期望,無論正確或不正確,都可以帶來期望或預期的結果」這一觀點普及開來。






中國預算過於保守2025,當心結果可能是一個自我實現的預言 self-fulfilling,

China has revealed its budget plan to cope with deflation and an intensifying trade war. The numbers are too cautious https://econ.trib.al/DbhS6S6
Photo: Getty Images
可能是 13 個人、天壇和顯示的文字是「 Gloom can be self-fulfilling With With an intensifying trade war, China's budget trade plan is too cautious 」的圖像


中國預算過於保守2025,當心結果可能是一個自我實現的預言 self-fulfilling,  self-fulfillment. 



Wikipedia
In philosophy and psychology, self-fulfillment is the realizing of one's deepest desires and capacities. The history of this concept can be traced to Ancient Greek philosophers and it still remains a notable concept in modern philosophy.


自我實現 /ˌsɛl(f)fʊlˈfɪlɪŋ/ 形容詞 (關於觀點或預測)必定會被證明是正確的,或會因其表達所導致的行為而實現。
“預期某事會變壞,結果可能是一個自我實現的預言”

self-fulfilling
/ˌsɛl(f)fʊlˈfɪlɪŋ/
adjective
  1. (of an opinion or prediction) bound to be proved correct or to come true as a result of behaviour caused by its being expressed.
    "expecting something to be bad can turn out to be a self-fulfilling prophecy"

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